Chartbook #153: The South Asian Polycrisis

Version: 17 (current) | Updated: 11/13/2025, 6:22:56 AM

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Description

Chartbook #153: The South Asian Polycrisis

Overview

Chartbook #153 is a single‑page text newsletter published on 22 September 2022 by Adam Tooze for the “test‑tooze” institution. The document is written in English, distributed via the PINAX platform, and is copyrighted under the Chartbook Newsletter license. It is a concise analytical briefing that combines narrative commentary with data visualisations and social‑media excerpts.

Background

The newsletter was produced during a period of heightened economic, demographic, and geopolitical turbulence across South Asia. Tooze, a noted economic historian, curates the content from a range of sources—including international financial statistics, regional policy reports, and contemporary tweets—to frame the region’s “polycrisis.” The work is part of the Chartbook series, which offers monthly, data‑rich insights into global affairs.

Contents

The text examines the interlocking challenges facing India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, and Afghanistan. Key themes include:
  • Economic growth: rapid expansion in India since the late 1990s, contrasted with slower growth in neighbouring states.
  • Demographic pressures: high population growth, youth bulges, and the strain on public services.
  • Environmental stresses: climate‑related hazards, water scarcity, and heatwaves.
  • Geopolitical tensions: great‑power rivalry (USA, China, Russia) and regional conflicts involving Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka.
  • Uneven and combined development: disparate trajectories within and across borders.

The newsletter incorporates two tweets (one from Esfandyar Batmanghelidj on West Asia’s crisis and one from Robin Brooks on GDP growth) and a chart depicting oil‑price trends.

Scope

The briefing covers the period up to September 2022, focusing on South Asia’s economic, demographic, environmental, and geopolitical dimensions. It references the broader context of great‑power competition (USA, China, Russia) and regional dynamics in Central, North‑East, and West Asia. The document does not provide exhaustive data sets but offers a snapshot of the region’s polycrisis and its global linkages, making it a useful starting point for researchers interested in contemporary South‑Asian affairs.

Entities

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Raw Cheimarros Data

@chartbook_153:document {title: "Chartbook #153: The South Asian Polycrisis", creator: @adam_tooze, created: @date_2022_09_22, description: "Newsletter analysing the South Asian polycrisis – economic, demographic, environmental and geopolitical challenges in the region and their global links"}  

@adam_tooze:person {full_name: "Adam Tooze"}  

@date_2022_09_22  
@date_2022_07_18  
@date_2022_09_18  

@polycrisis:concept {description: "Interplay of multiple, overlapping crises (economic, demographic, environmental, geopolitical) that reinforce each other"}  

@south_asia:place {description: "Region delineated by the Himalayas (north), Hindu Kush (west) and the Arakanese hills (east)"}  

@india:place {population: "1.36 bn (projected to become the world’s most populous country)", status: "rapid economic growth since the late 1990s"}  
@pakistan:place {population: "216 million"}  
@bangladesh:place {population: "163 million", gdp_per_capita: "higher than India"}  
@sri_lanka:place {}  
@afghanistan:place {}  

@south_asia -> comprises -> [@india, @pakistan, @bangladesh, @sri_lanka, @afghanistan]  

@south_asia -> described_by -> @polycrisis  

@chartbook_153 -> focuses_on -> @south_asia  

@chartbook_153 -> discusses -> [@economic_growth, @demographic_pressures, @environmental_pressures, @geopolitical_tensions, @regional_conflicts, @uneven_and_combined_development]  

@economic_growth:concept {description: "Rapid expansion of output, especially in India"}  
@demographic_pressures:concept {description: "High population growth and youth bulges"}  
@environmental_pressures:concept {description: "Climate‑related stress, water scarcity, heatwaves"}  
@geopolitical_tensions:concept {description: "Great‑power rivalry (USA, China, Russia) affecting the region"}  
@regional_conflicts:concept {description: "Instabilities in Afghanistan, Pakistan and Sri Lanka"}  
@uneven_and_combined_development:concept {description: "Disparate development trajectories within and across borders"}  

@chartbook_153 -> mentions -> [@india, @pakistan, @bangladesh, @sri_lanka, @afghanistan, @china, @usa]  

@china:place {}  
@usa:place {}  

@north_east_asia:place {description: "Dominated by tensions around and within China"}  
@central_asia:place {description: "China‑Russia axis is key"}  
@south_east_asia:place {description: "More insulated from great‑power rivalry; zone of rapid development"}  
@west_asia:place {description: "Region of deep crisis, overlapping with South‑Asia"}  

@north_east_asia -> dominated_by -> @china  
@central_asia -> key_axis -> [@china, @russia]  
@south_east_asia -> insulated_from -> @great_power_rivalry  
@west_asia -> overlaps_with -> @south_asia  

@great_power_rivalry:concept {description: "Strategic competition among USA, China and Russia"}  
@russia:place {}  

@indonesia:place {}  
@indonesia -> success_story -> @south_east_asia  

@esfandyar_batmanghelidj:person {full_name: "Esfandyar Batmanghelidj"}  
@esfandyar_batmanghelidj -> tweeted_about -> @west_asia {when: @date_2022_09_18, text: "West Asia is in a deep crisis – Russia, Pakistan, Lebanon all part of it"}  

@chartbook_153 -> includes_tweet -> @esfandyar_batmanghelidj_tweet:document {author: @esfandyar_batmanghelidj, date: @date_2022_09_18}  

@robin_brooks_iif:person {full_name: "Robin Brooks"}  
@robin_brooks_iif -> posted -> @gdp_growth_tweet:document {type: "tweet", date: @date_2022_07_18, content: "Cumulative real per‑capita GDP growth (2007‑2021): USA +12.9 %, Sweden +10.4 %, Germany +10.1 %, …"}  

@chartbook_153 -> includes_tweet -> @gdp_growth_tweet  

@iea:organization {full_name: "International Energy Agency"}  
@iea -> calls_for -> @clean_technology_investment:concept {amount: "$4 tn annually", purpose: "net‑zero by 2050"}  

@g7:organization {description: "Group of advanced economies accounting for ≈ $45 tn annual GDP"}  
@g7 -> investment_gap -> @clean_technology_investment  

@chartbook_153 -> mentions -> @iea  
@chartbook_153 -> mentions -> @g7  

@annual_subscription:concept {price: "$50", period: "year"}  
@monthly_subscription:concept {price: "$5", period: "month"}  
@founders_club:concept {price: "$120", period: "year"}  

@chartbook_153 -> offers_subscription -> [@annual_subscription, @monthly_subscription, @founders_club]  

@mesandbu:person {full_name: "MESandbu"}  
@mesandbu -> wrote_article -> @iea_article:document {title: "G7 investment ratios to 1970s could fill half of IEA’s $4 tn clean‑tech gap", source: "Financial Times"}  

@chartbook_153 -> cites -> @mesandbu_article:document {author: @mesandbu, title: "G7 investment ratios to 1970s could fill half of IEA’s $4 tn clean‑tech gap"}  

@oil_price_chart:document {type: "image", description: "Oil prices rose sharply in the 1970s; 2022 rise is broader‑based"}  
@oil_price_chart -> shows -> @oil_prices:concept {trend: "1970s spike vs 2022 broad increase"}  

@chartbook_153 -> includes_image -> @oil_price_chart  

---  

**Summary of key relationships**  
- The South Asian polycrisis ( @polycrisis ) is centred on @south_asia, which comprises @india, @pakistan, @bangladesh, @sri_lanka and @afghanistan.  
- @chartbook_153 analyses the region’s economic growth, demographic pressures, environmental stresses, geopolitical tensions, regional conflicts and uneven development.  
- It links South Asia to broader great‑power rivalry ( @great_power_rivalry ) involving @china, @usa and @russia, and notes the contrasting dynamics in @north_east_asia, @central_asia, @south_east_asia and @west_asia.  
- The newsletter cites tweets from @esfandyar_batmanghelidj and @robin_brooks_iif, references the IEA’s clean‑technology investment gap, and mentions G7 investment shortfalls.  
- Subscription options (@annual_subscription, @monthly_subscription, @founders_club) are offered for the Chartbook series.

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  • ✓ v17 (current) · 11/13/2025, 6:22:56 AM
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